Preseason Rankings
Morgan St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.6#329
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace77.6#24
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.8#307
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.8#331
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.3% 24.1% 11.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 16.0
.500 or above 31.7% 65.3% 30.7%
.500 or above in Conference 68.1% 84.1% 67.6%
Conference Champion 16.1% 30.0% 15.7%
Last Place in Conference 6.0% 2.0% 6.1%
First Four11.0% 17.7% 10.8%
First Round5.8% 14.2% 5.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Temple (Away) - 3.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 30 - 31 - 6
Quad 411 - 1012 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 83   @ Temple L 68-88 3%    
  Nov 13, 2019 248   St. Francis (PA) L 78-81 39%    
  Nov 16, 2019 190   @ George Washington L 69-81 15%    
  Nov 22, 2019 87   Liberty L 61-78 7%    
  Nov 29, 2019 14   @ Ohio St. L 59-87 1%    
  Dec 04, 2019 181   Towson L 69-75 30%    
  Dec 07, 2019 260   Longwood L 76-78 43%    
  Dec 14, 2019 189   @ La Salle L 71-83 16%    
  Dec 28, 2019 149   @ Loyola Marymount L 63-77 11%    
  Dec 31, 2019 208   @ Cal St. Northridge L 78-89 18%    
  Jan 04, 2020 349   @ Delaware St. W 60-58 55%    
  Jan 06, 2020 323   South Carolina St. W 80-77 59%    
  Jan 11, 2020 341   @ Florida A&M L 69-70 50%    
  Jan 13, 2020 326   @ Bethune-Cookman L 79-82 39%    
  Jan 18, 2020 337   Howard W 85-80 65%    
  Jan 20, 2020 325   N.C. A&T W 75-72 58%    
  Jan 25, 2020 348   @ Coppin St. W 79-78 53%    
  Jan 27, 2020 350   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 54-52 58%    
  Feb 01, 2020 337   @ Howard L 82-83 45%    
  Feb 08, 2020 350   Maryland Eastern Shore W 57-49 76%    
  Feb 10, 2020 322   NC Central W 73-71 58%    
  Feb 15, 2020 318   @ Norfolk St. L 74-78 38%    
  Feb 17, 2020 323   @ South Carolina St. L 77-80 40%    
  Feb 24, 2020 349   Delaware St. W 63-55 74%    
  Feb 29, 2020 348   Coppin St. W 82-75 71%    
  Mar 05, 2020 318   Norfolk St. W 77-75 58%    
Projected Record 11 - 15 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.4 3.8 4.8 3.7 1.7 0.5 16.1 1st
2nd 0.2 2.2 5.0 4.5 1.8 0.3 0.0 14.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.0 5.2 3.5 0.9 0.1 0.0 11.9 3rd
4th 0.0 1.5 5.1 3.6 0.7 0.0 11.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 4.3 3.9 0.7 0.0 9.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.5 4.3 0.8 0.0 8.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.2 4.0 1.1 0.1 7.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.6 1.6 0.1 7.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.6 1.6 0.2 0.0 6.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.8 1.3 0.2 0.0 4.6 10th
11th 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.3 11th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.3 3.9 5.8 8.0 10.1 11.4 12.1 12.0 10.5 9.3 6.7 4.0 1.7 0.5 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.5    0.5
15-1 99.9% 1.7    1.6 0.1
14-2 91.9% 3.7    3.1 0.6 0.0
13-3 71.8% 4.8    3.0 1.6 0.1 0.0
12-4 41.4% 3.8    1.6 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.0
11-5 13.1% 1.4    0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0
10-6 1.6% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 16.1% 16.1 10.1 4.4 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.5% 58.3% 58.3% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2
15-1 1.7% 46.4% 46.4% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9
14-2 4.0% 37.2% 37.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.3 2.5
13-3 6.7% 29.3% 29.3% 16.0 0.0 0.0 1.9 4.7
12-4 9.3% 24.8% 24.8% 16.0 0.0 2.3 7.0
11-5 10.5% 19.0% 19.0% 16.0 0.0 2.0 8.5
10-6 12.0% 12.9% 12.9% 16.0 1.5 10.4
9-7 12.1% 8.1% 8.1% 16.0 1.0 11.1
8-8 11.4% 4.6% 4.6% 16.0 0.5 10.9
7-9 10.1% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.2 9.9
6-10 8.0% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 8.0
5-11 5.8% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 5.8
4-12 3.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.9
3-13 2.3% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 2.3
2-14 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 1.1
1-15 0.5% 0.5
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 12.3% 12.3% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 11.7 87.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%